Online Sports Betting Tips: Why To Never Bet On A Hunch!
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by: davidjames
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Have you ever wondered how the sports betting "smart money" became the smart money? Do you wonder what the football betting smart money does differently than the amateurs?
One of the most important things that sports betting pros do to make money is that they NEVER bet on games just on a hunch, or because they have a feeling a team will win.
Let's take a look at a game I analyzed for my members between Minnesota and Michigan St. I had a gut feeling Michigan St. was going to win big, but even so, I recommended that my members NOT bet on this game. Here is the analysis:
*One More "Bonus" Game *
Minnesota vs. Michigan St. -2 1/2
Before you even read this, I am recommending that you do NOT bet this game. It's not a high percentage play by any means. I just wanted to comment on this game for entertainment purposes only.
Sometimes you just get a "feeling" about a game. This is one of those times.
Michigan St. has had a complete meltdown since their dabacle against Notre Dame. But think about this -Michigan St. was good enough to be leading Notre Dame by 16 points going into the fourth quarter. If it wasn't for an idiotic pass that was intercepted for a touchdown with 2 minutes to play, Michigan St. would have beat Notre Dame and been off to a 4-0 start.
As you know, they lost to Notre Dame, and they've never been the same since.
Minnesota has been just plain bad to ordinary all season. They've never shown even flashes of potential. They've only beaten the real patsies of college football, and even then they only beat North Dakota St. 10-9. Be honest, have you ever even HEARD of North Dakota St.???
Even though Michigan St. has totally crumbled since the Notre Dame game, I just have a gut feeling that they're going to show up an blow out Minnesota, just so they can remind everybody of the once promising season they might have had.
Like I said, this is a game that I wouldn't recommend to play. But I couldn't sleep well tonight if I kept this "feeling" about this game to myself and didn't tell you. The last time I had a feeling like this was when Temple won their first game a few weeks back, and even though I wouldn't have recommended betting that game, I regretted not mentioning that I had a feeling Temple might pull off the upset.
Same goes for this game with Michigan St. I'm not recommending you bet it, but I just wanted to let you know that I think Michigan St. is going to roll all over Minnesota, winning 38-28. If you ignore my advice and bet this game anyway, but it lightly for less than you normally would.
What actually happened was Minnesota destroyed Michigan St. 31-18, and whoever took my advice and did NOT bet on this game saved themselves some money!
Article Source: http://www.ArticleStreet.com/
About the Author
David James is one of the world's foremost sports handicappers. Not only does James have an uncanny knack for knowing who to bet on, but he also is one of the best at providing in depth explanations and statistics showing exactly why each pick meets his criteria. Click on this link if you would like to learn how to be successful at Sports Betting
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